{"id":2202,"date":"2023-12-19T19:01:43","date_gmt":"2023-12-19T20:01:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/?p=2202"},"modified":"2023-12-19T21:42:57","modified_gmt":"2023-12-19T21:42:57","slug":"how-will-an-impeachment-inquiry-into-biden-affect-the-2024-presidential-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/2023\/12\/19\/how-will-an-impeachment-inquiry-into-biden-affect-the-2024-presidential-race\/","title":{"rendered":"How will an impeachment inquiry into Biden affect the 2024 presidential race?"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"Figure\">\n<p>    <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"Image\" alt=\"President Joe Biden speaks during a meeting of the National Infrastructure Advisory Council on Dec. 13, 2023, in Washington.\" width=\"490\" height=\"275\" data-src=\"https:\/\/deseret.brightspotcdn.com\/dims4\/default\/f8e7c2c\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/3000x1684+0+0\/resize\/490x275!\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcdn.vox-cdn.com%2Fthumbor%2FJE9Y_KhiBCwDzSbBAaEQTgRgzJU%3D%2F0x0%3A3000x2000%2F3000x2000%2Ffilters%3Afocal%281513x576%3A1514x577%29%2Fcdn.vox-cdn.com%2Fuploads%2Fchorus_asset%2Ffile%2F25165810%2FAP23347681130252.jpg\" data-lazy-load=\"true\" src=\"image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZlcnNpb249IjEuMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIyNzVweCIgd2lkdGg9IjQ5MHB4Ij48L3N2Zz4=\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"Figure-content\"><figcaption class=\"Figure-caption\">\n<p>President Joe Biden speaks during a meeting of the National Infrastructure Advisory Council in the Indian Treaty Room on the White House campus on Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2023, in Washington. <\/p>\n<\/figcaption><span class=\"line\"><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"Figure-credit\">\n<p>Evan Vucci, Associated Press<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><i>This article was first published in the&nbsp;<\/i><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/pages.deseret.com\/newsletters\/on-the-trail-2024-with-samuel-benson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>On the Trail 2024 newsletter<\/i><\/a><i>. Sign up to receive the newsletter in your inbox on Tuesday and Friday mornings&nbsp;<\/i><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/pages.deseret.com\/newsletters\/on-the-trail-2024-with-samuel-benson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>here<\/i><\/a><i>.<\/i><\/p>\n<p><b>Good morning and welcome to On the Trail 2024<\/b>, the Deseret News\u2019 campaign newsletter. I\u2019m Samuel Benson, Deseret\u2019s national political correspondent.<\/p>\n<p>Do you have a question for the Friday mailbag? Drop me a line at <b>onthetrail@deseretnews.com<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>The latest from our 2024 election coverage:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li id=\"58KfgY\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/deseret.admin.usechorus.com\/e\/23762755\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DeSantis had no influence on new AP African American studies course, College Board says<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"NRKFPu\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.deseret.com\/2023\/12\/14\/24001898\/president-joe-biden-impeachment-inquiry-explained\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Biden\u2019s impeachment inquiry, explained<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"fqYGvK\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.deseret.com\/2023\/12\/15\/24002968\/rudy-giuliani-defamation-case-verdict-criminal-charges-in-2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rudy Giuliani to pay $148 million in defamation case while still facing criminal charges in 2024<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>The Big Idea<\/h3>\n<p><b>Impeachment, Biden, and the 2024 election<\/b><\/p>\n<p>House Republicans authorized an impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden last week, related to the foreign business dealings of his son, Hunter Biden. My colleagues Gitanjali Poonia and Brigham Tomco wrote a great explainer <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.deseret.com\/2023\/12\/14\/24001898\/president-joe-biden-impeachment-inquiry-explained\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>, laying out the most important things to know.<\/p>\n<p>Two things to remember: Republicans have yet to present any concrete evidence of the president\u2019s culpability, and this is only an <i>inquiry \u2014<\/i> and impeachment remains unlikely. <\/p>\n<p>But the big question mark is what effect this has on the 2024 election. Voters remain split, largely by party lines, over their support for impeachment. Some findings from polling:<\/p>\n<p><b>Support over a probe is a toss-up<\/b>. According to one poll, 49% of Americans approve of an impeachment probe, while 48% disapprove (<a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/maristpoll.marist.edu\/polls\/2024-presidential-election-tossup-issues\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NPR\/PBS NewsHour\/Marist<\/a>). <\/p>\n<p><b>Among Republicans, that support is dropping. <\/b>In September, 76% of GOP voters supported an impeachment probe; in December, that fell to 70%. Among independent voters, there was a drop, too \u2014 43% to 37%. <\/p>\n<p><b>Actually <i>impeaching <\/i>Biden is far less popular. <\/b>While voters seem open to an impeachment inquiry, they remain unconvinced that Biden should be impeached. A <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/538\/make-biden-impeachment-inquiry\/story?id=105663395\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CBS average of three polls<\/a> from October to December shows 48% of voters oppose impeaching Biden, while 42% support it. <\/p>\n<p>If the House moves forward with an inquiry, impeaches Biden and delivers articles of impeachment to the Senate, it\u2019s highly unlikely that the Senate \u2014 based on the current information available \u2014 would move forward. <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2023\/12\/12\/senate-republicans-biden-impeachment-inquiry\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Several<\/a> Senate Republicans have said they see no evidence to justify impeaching Biden. One of them, Sen. Mike Rounds of South Dakota, <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2023\/12\/12\/senate-republicans-biden-impeachment-inquiry\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">warned<\/a> House Republicans that pushing forward an impeachment could \u201cbackfire politically\u201d and hurt them in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s the message the White House is sending, too. \u201cThis baseless impeachment exercise would be a disaster for congressional Republicans, and don\u2019t take our word for it: just listen to the chorus of their fellow Republicans who admit there is no evidence for their false allegations and that pursuing such a partisan stunt will \u2018backfire,\u2019\u201d White House spokesperson Ian Sams told <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/administration\/4179957-white-house-warns-gop-biden-impeachment-will-backfire\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Hill<\/a> last week.<\/p>\n<h3>What I\u2019m reading<\/h3>\n<p><b>It\u2019s been a month since Sen. Tim Scott <\/b>ended his campaign for president. He\u2019s said that he won\u2019t be endorsing another candidate \u201canytime soon.\u201d But that hasn\u2019t stopped several from trying, according to a new report. Both Nikki Haley and Donald Trump are lobbying Scott for his backing, with Haley calling her fellow South Carolinian as recently as last week. There may be something in it for Scott, too: if he endorses Trump, he\u2019d likely become the odds-on favorite for Trump\u2019s VP pick. <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.semafor.com\/newsletter\/12\/18\/2023\/so-about-this-weekend?utm_source=newslettershare&amp;utm_medium=principals&amp;utm_campaign=flagshipnumbered1#b\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>Nikki Haley and Donald Trump asked Tim Scott to endorse them<\/i><\/a><i> (Shelby Talcott, Semafor)<\/i><\/p>\n<p><b>The wheels seem to be falling off <\/b>Ron DeSantis\u2019 political operation, after a chief strategist departed his super PAC over the weekend. He\u2019s the latest casualty in an apparent meltdown at the PAC, Never Back Down. \u201cWhile Mr. DeSantis has sought to project strength and competence on the campaign trail, behind-the-scenes infighting at Never Back Down has frequently overshadowed his efforts,\u201d the Times reports. <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/12\/17\/us\/politics\/desantis-iowa-trump-haley.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>With His Super PAC in Disarray, DeSantis Aims to Stay on Offense<\/i><\/a><i> (Kellen Browning and Nicholas Nehamas, The New York Times)<\/i><\/p>\n<p><b>Some Republicans in Congress are doing their best <\/b>to block aid to Ukraine. Many of them offered full-throated support for Ukraine when Russia first invaded in February 2022. What changed? Trump is pushing to back off Ukraine, and they fear his retribution, David Frum writes. <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/ideas\/archive\/2023\/12\/republicans-congress-ukraine-aid-trump\/676374\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>They Do It for Trump<\/i><\/a><i> (David Frum, The Atlantic)<\/i><\/p>\n<p>One last thing \u2014 a reminder to follow our new <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/onthetrail2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">On the Trail 2024 Instagram account<\/a>!<\/p>\n<div class=\"Enhancement\" data-align-center>\n<div class=\"Enhancement-item\">\n<div class=\"InstagramUrl\">\n<blockquote class=\"instagram-media\" data-instgrm-captioned data-instgrm-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/Czwz3k-O3tE\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" data-instgrm-version=\"14\" style=\"background:#FFF;border:0;border-radius:3px;margin: 1px;max-width:658px;min-width:326px;padding:0;width:99.375%;width:-webkit-calc(100% - 2px);width:calc(100% - 2px)\">\n<div style=\"padding:16px\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/Czwz3k-O3tE\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" style=\"background:#FFFFFF;line-height:0;padding:0 0;text-align:center;text-decoration:none;width:100%\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> <\/p>\n<div style=\"flex-direction: row;align-items: center\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;border-radius: 50%;flex-grow: 0;height: 40px;margin-right: 14px;width: 40px\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex-direction: column;flex-grow: 1;justify-content: center\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;border-radius: 4px;flex-grow: 0;height: 14px;margin-bottom: 6px;width: 100px\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;border-radius: 4px;flex-grow: 0;height: 14px;width: 60px\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 19% 0\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"height:50px;margin:0 auto 12px;width:50px\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"padding-top: 8px\">\n<div style=\"color:#3897f0;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-style:normal;font-weight:550;line-height:18px\">View this post on Instagram<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12.5% 0\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex-direction: row;margin-bottom: 14px;align-items: center\">\n<div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;border-radius: 50%;height: 12.5px;width: 12.5px\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;height: 12.5px;width: 12.5px;flex-grow: 0;margin-right: 14px;margin-left: 2px\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;border-radius: 50%;height: 12.5px;width: 12.5px\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin-left: 8px\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;border-radius: 50%;flex-grow: 0;height: 20px;width: 20px\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"width: 0;height: 0;border-top: 2px solid transparent;border-left: 6px solid #f4f4f4;border-bottom: 2px solid transparent\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin-left: auto\">\n<div style=\"width: 0px;border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4;border-right: 8px solid transparent\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;flex-grow: 0;height: 12px;width: 16px\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"width: 0;height: 0;border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4;border-left: 8px solid transparent\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex-direction: column;flex-grow: 1;justify-content: center;margin-bottom: 24px\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;border-radius: 4px;flex-grow: 0;height: 14px;margin-bottom: 6px;width: 224px\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4;border-radius: 4px;flex-grow: 0;height: 14px;width: 144px\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"color:#c9c8cd;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:17px;margin-bottom:0;margin-top:8px;overflow:hidden;padding:8px 0 7px;text-align:center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/Czwz3k-O3tE\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" style=\"color:#c9c8cd;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-style:normal;font-weight:normal;line-height:17px;text-decoration:none\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">A post shared by Deseret News: On the Trail 2024 (@onthetrail2024)<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>Have a question for the Friday mailbag? <\/b>Drop me a line at <b>onthetrail@deseretnews.com<\/b>, or reply to this email.<\/p>\n<p>See you on the trail.<\/p>\n<p><i>Editor\u2019s Note: The Deseret News is committed to covering issues of substance in the 2024 presidential race from its&nbsp;<\/i><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.deseret.com\/2023\/6\/14\/23759769\/deseret-news-editorial-principles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>unique perspective and editorial values<\/i><\/a><i>. Our team of political reporters will bring you in-depth coverage of the most relevant news and information to help you make an informed decision. Find our complete coverage of the election&nbsp;<\/i><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.deseret.com\/2024-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>here<\/i><\/a><i>.<\/i><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President Joe Biden speaks during a meeting of the National Infrastructure Advisory Council in the Indian Treaty Room on the White House campus on Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2023, in Washington. Evan Vucci, Associated Press This article was first published in the&nbsp;On the Trail 2024 newsletter. Sign up to receive the&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[15],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2202"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2202"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2202\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2203,"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2202\/revisions\/2203"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2202"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2202"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/shinsori.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2202"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}